City arrive at home with the strongest underlying profile in the league, while West Ham travel with numbers that point toward defensive pressure and limited attacking sustainability.
Manchester City come into the game with 15.03 xPTS across their last eight matches which puts them second over this period, collecting 18 actual points which again would see them sit second in the table. Their process remains consistent across all windows.
Over those eight games they average 1.88 xG and concede 1.12 xGA, winning the xG battle in 75.0% of league matches overall. At home across the last four, non-penalty xG stands at 2.12 with non-penalty xGA at 0.81. Shot dominance is clear. City generate 12.0 shots in the box per game at home while conceding 4.8. Big chances over that period sit at six for and four against, showing control without excessive exposure.
Predicted line-ups
Manchester City (4-2-3-1): Donnarumma, Nunes, Dias, Gvardiol, OReilly, Gonzalez, Cherki, Silva, Reijnders, Foden, Haaland.
West Ham United (4-3-3): Areola, Walker Peters, Todibo, Mavropanos, Kilman, Fernandes, Potts, Magassa, Summerville, Bowen, Paqueta.
Leave a Reply